Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.800828e-05 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074 0.000084 0.000095 0.000108
2025-01-19 3.592995e-05 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000086 0.000104 0.000125
2025-01-26 2.835323e-05 0.000039 0.000052 0.000069 0.000088 0.000111 0.000140
2025-02-02 2.456649e-05 0.000036 0.000051 0.000070 0.000095 0.000123 0.000160
2025-02-09 2.076896e-05 0.000033 0.000049 0.000070 0.000098 0.000131 0.000175
2025-02-16 1.927516e-05 0.000032 0.000050 0.000074 0.000106 0.000146 0.000198
2025-02-23 1.654094e-05 0.000029 0.000047 0.000073 0.000108 0.000153 0.000212
2025-03-02 1.348578e-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000070 0.000107 0.000155 0.000219
2025-03-09 1.131241e-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000068 0.000107 0.000159 0.000229
2025-03-16 9.568081e-06 0.000021 0.000039 0.000067 0.000108 0.000163 0.000239
2025-03-23 8.262499e-06 0.000019 0.000037 0.000066 0.000109 0.000168 0.000251
2025-03-30 7.158624e-06 0.000018 0.000036 0.000066 0.000111 0.000174 0.000263
2025-04-06 5.727224e-06 0.000016 0.000033 0.000064 0.000111 0.000178 0.000274
2025-04-13 4.389164e-06 0.000013 0.000031 0.000061 0.000110 0.000180 0.000283
2025-04-20 3.437318e-06 0.000012 0.000028 0.000059 0.000110 0.000183 0.000294
2025-04-27 3.038043e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000061 0.000115 0.000195 0.000315
2025-05-04 2.500218e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000061 0.000117 0.000202 0.000331
2025-05-11 2.375312e-06 0.000010 0.000028 0.000064 0.000125 0.000218 0.000360
2025-05-18 1.937645e-06 0.000009 0.000027 0.000064 0.000127 0.000224 0.000375
2025-05-25 1.421230e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000061 0.000125 0.000225 0.000381
2025-06-01 1.080788e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000059 0.000124 0.000228 0.000392
2025-06-08 8.230584e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000058 0.000125 0.000232 0.000403
2025-06-15 6.439920e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000057 0.000126 0.000237 0.000417